Education, Science, Technology, Innovation and Life
Open Access
Sign In

JT Credit Risk Measurement Research

Download as PDF

DOI: 10.23977/ferm.2024.070110 | Downloads: 7 | Views: 136

Author(s)

Hu Zijun 1

Affiliation(s)

1 School of Economics and Management, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin, China

Corresponding Author

Hu Zijun

ABSTRACT

Infrastructure construction is not only an important part of China's economic and social development, but also a strong support for the improvement of the well -being of people's livelihood. The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposes that my country should accelerate the construction of a modern infrastructure system and build a power of transportation.As a leading enterprise in China's transportation construction industry, JT Company is particularly important to do a good job in credit risk. Therefore, in order to reveal its credit status at this stage, this article calculates the Z value of 2018-2022 through the Z-Score model. And using the KMV model to measure the company's default distance from 2021-2022.The model measurement results show that the Z value of JT has continued to be lower than 1.8 in the past five years, and its debt repayment capacity, profitability and operating capacity have declined. In the eighth quarter, the trend of volatility was shown. From this, JT is currently facing a certain degree of credit risk. Therefore, in the future development path, measures such as establishing a risk indicator system, improving risk warning mechanisms, and flexibly using financial leverage can be taken for credit risk management.

KEYWORDS

Credit risk; Z-Score model; KMV model

CITE THIS PAPER

Hu Zijun, JT Credit Risk Measurement Research. Financial Engineering and Risk Management (2024) Vol. 7: 65-72. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/ferm.2024.070110.

REFERENCES

[1] Banerjee, A.; Duflo, E.; Qian, N.On the road: Access to transportation infr-astructure and economic growth in China.Journal of Development Economics,2020,145:102442.
[2] Sun Weizeng, Niu Dongxiao, Wan Guanghua. Transportation infrastructure construction and industrial structure upgrading: an empirical analysis using high-speed rail construction as an example [J]. Management World, 2022, 38 (03): 19-34+58+35-41.
[3] Ma Guangrong, Cheng Xiaomeng, Yang Enyan. How transportation infrastructure promotes capital flow: a study based on the opening of high-speed rail and cross regional investment by listed companies [J]. China Industrial Economy, 2020 (06): 5-23.
[4] Edward I. AltmanRobert G. HaldemanP. Narayanan.ZETATM analysis A new model to identify bankruptcy risk of corporations [J].Journal of Banking and Finance, 1977,1(1):29-54.
[5] Li Xingfa, Wang Qingshi. Research on the Application of Credit Risk in Commercial Banks Based on the CreditMetrics Model [J]. Financial Issues Research, 2006 (12): 47-53.
[6] Credit Suisse Financial Products. CreditRisk+: A Credit Risk Management Framework[R]. Credit Suisse Financial Products, 1997.
[7] Gundlach M, and Lehrbass F. CreditRisk+ in the Banking Industry[M]. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer, 2004.
[8] Liang Shidong, Guo Gui, Li Yong, Fang Zhaoben. Comparative analysis of credit risk models [J]. China Management Science, 2002 (01): 18-23.
[9] Mc Quown J A.A comment on Market VS.Accounting-based Measures of Default Risk[Z].White Paper,Moody's KMV, 1993.
[10] Liu Dinglin, Zhao Xianglian, Tian Yuehong. Research on Credit Risk Measurement of Agricultural Listed Companies Based on KMV Model [J]. Mathematical Practice and Understanding, 2014,44 (12): 32-39.
[11] Wang Hui, Zhang Guojun The Application of KMV Model in Credit Risk Measurement of Listed Real Estate Enterprises in China [J]. Economic Issues, 2018, No. 463 (03): 36-40.
[12] Xia Shiyuan. Research on Local Government Debt Risk Warning Based on KMV Model [J]. Financial Review, 2019, 11 (04): 114-123+126.
[13] Liu Huiting, Liu Hailong. Research on Risk Assessment of Local Government Debt in China Based on KMV Model [J]. Shanghai Finance, 2016, No. 431 (06): 52-59.
[14] Hu Mingxia. Holding the Bottom Line or Expanding Space: Empirical Evidence from Enterprise Risk Management [J]. Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, 2020, 36 (11): 80-89.

Downloads: 16614
Visits: 340205

All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright © 2016 - 2031 Clausius Scientific Press Inc. All Rights Reserved.