Study on the correlation between postoperative dynamic NLR monitoring levels and clinical prognosis in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage
DOI: 10.23977/medsc.2026.070320 | Downloads: 2 | Views: 25
Author(s)
Jie Min 1, Jian Zhao 1, Lei Yang 2, Fangju Mao 1
Affiliation(s)
1 Neurointensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, China
2 Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, China
Corresponding Author
Jie MinABSTRACT
This study aimed to investigate the dynamic changes in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) during the early postoperative period in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and to assess their predictive value for poor prognosis at discharge. A total of 248 aSAH patients were consecutively enrolled and classified into a favorable-prognosis group (mRS scores 0-2, n=193) and a poor-prognosis group (mRS scores 3–6, n=55) based on their discharge mRS scores. Peripheral blood neutrophil and lymphocyte counts were measured along with NLR calculation on admission day (0 d), 24 hours postoperatively (1 d), 72 hours postoperatively (3 d), and 7 days postoperatively (7 d). Differences in NLR at each time point were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of poor prognosis, and a combined predictive model was constructed. The model's discrimination power was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, with internal validation conducted via bootstrap method. The poor-prognosis group exhibited higher age (64 vs. 59 years, P=0.012), a greater proportion of Hunt-Hess grades III–V (63.6% vs. 16.1%, P=0.000), and a higher incidence of intraventricular hemorrhage (56.4% vs. 23.8%, P=0.000). The NLR levels at 24 hours, 72 hours, and 7 days postoperatively were significantly higher in the poor-prognosis group compared to the good-prognosis group, with the most significant intergroup difference observed at 72 hours postoperatively (median: 10.81 vs. 6.33). Multivariate logistic regression identified Hunt-Hess grading III–V (OR=6.313,95% CI: 2.870–13.887, P=0.000), neck width (OR=1.335,95% CI: 1.058–1.686, P=0.015), and 72-hour postoperative NLR (OR=1.103,95% CI: 1.037–1.174, P=0.002) as independent predictors of poor prognosis at discharge. The predictive model constructed based on these three parameters exhibited an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.839 (95% CI not provided, P<0.001), and internal validation using bootstrap calibration demonstrated good model fit. A significant elevation in 72-hour postoperative NLR is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in aSAH patients, and the combined model incorporating Hunt-Hess grading and tumor neck width demonstrates excellent discriminative power. Dynamic monitoring of early postoperative NLR levels aids in the early identification of high-risk patients.
KEYWORDS
Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage; Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; Prognosis; Predictive model; Hunt-Hess grading systemCITE THIS PAPER
Jie Min, Jian Zhao, Lei Yang, Fangju Mao. Study on the correlation between postoperative dynamic NLR monitoring levels and clinical prognosis in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. MEDS Clinical Medicine (2026). Vol. 7, No. 3, 154-162. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/medsc.2026.070320.
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