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Markov Chain Model of Rumor Situation Prediction

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DOI: 10.23977/ERMSS.2019.050


Hongfang Man, Pu Li

Corresponding Author

Hongfang Man


Based on the study of the concept, characteristics, current situation and influencing factors of Microblog rumors, this paper observes and values the number of Microblog’s posts, comments, and relays related to rumors, and establishes the prediction model of network rumor situation based on Markov chain, which can make a better prediction of the rumor spreading situation, so as to provide reasonable and effective suggestions for the governance of rumors.


Network rumors; Microblog rumors; rumors situation prediction; rumor spreading

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