Author(s)

Baohua Yang, Haidan Zhao, Jinshuai Zhao

Corresponding Author

Baohua Yang

ABSTRACT

Scientific prevention and control of urban public safety risks are essential to improve people's well-being and promote the improvement and innovation of public safety institutional mechanisms. In order to analyse the key factors affecting the level of urban public safety, an assessment model is constructed based on three levels of indicators: exposure and sensitivity, vulnerability and risk response capacity. Also, the urban public safety risks of 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China from 2015 to 2019 are comprehensively evaluated with the help of dynamic factor analysis to explore the changes, advantages and disadvantages of urban public safety development in different regions. This paper finds that the 6 key influencing factors of urban public safety risk in China are economic and social security development, medical and urban construction investment, fire and traffic accidents, environmental regulation, climate disasters, and urban congestion. Horizontally, the distribution of urban public safety risks shows a gradual increase from east to west, with relatively less risk in the eastern coastal areas. Vertically, the pattern of risk changes varies from place to place, with relatively stable changes in low-risk and high-risk areas, and greater volatility in medium-low and medium-high risk areas.

KEYWORDS

Urban public safety, Dynamic factor analysis, Risk assessment, Vulnerability