Decision Modelling and Analysis of Carbon Sequestration for Forest Management
DOI: 10.23977/acss.2023.070509 | Downloads: 6 | Views: 310
Author(s)
Xuehong Du 1
Affiliation(s)
1 Department of Computer Science and Technology, Northeastern University, Shenyang, 110819, China
Corresponding Author
Xuehong DuABSTRACT
Forest carbon sequestration is an effective way to tackle the serious climate change and reach the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. Now, there have been four major forest regions in China used as the research objects of carbon sequestration, which cover three research aspects: vegetation area, tree species, and tree age. In this study, we establish a mathematical model of annual carbon sequestration benefits. Then we analyze the situation of deforestation in ten countries including China by dividing the forest value into socio-economic benefits and ecological benefits. Factor analysis is used to select three main influencing factors including national ecological protection value, economic benefits, and types of trees harvested in order to make a comprehensive analysis. After that, the relationship between forest benefits and deforestation are deduced through fitting and a comprehensive evaluation index system is established for balancing the forest value. Then a GM (1,1) model is used to estimate the amount of carbon sequestration by China's forests and obtained an average increase of 2.8 billion tons over five years. The results are 90% accurate when compared with the eighth carbon stock of forest resources in China officially published by the National Forestry and Grassland Bureau. In addition, by comparing different forest management strategies, it is found that reasonable harvesting can bring higher economic benefits. The results of this study can provide a theoretical basis for optimizing forest management strategies.
KEYWORDS
Forest management, carbon sequestration, factor analysis, GM (1,1) modelCITE THIS PAPER
Xuehong Du. Decision Modelling and Analysis of Carbon Sequestration for Forest Management. Advances in Computer, Signals and Systems (2023) Vol. 7: 52-64. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/acss.2023.070509.
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